Inspired by a post I saw on AskReddit (which has now been removed). What is something you believe is growing because of young people?
Inspired by a post I saw on AskReddit (which has now been removed). What is something you believe is growing because of young people?
It’s only really the hyper developed countries that are experiencing the massive drop off in birth rates, so immigration would actually help this problem significantly.
Also, the lack of immigration in Japan is as much a matter of policy as it is everywhere else. Their government heavily discourages migrant labour (due in part to cultural racism), which has made their plummeting birth rate much more of a problem than it needs to be.
It’s not going to be enough.
Birth rates aren’t going to magically turn around, immigration isn’t going to magically fix it.
Ultimately, so what? What is the problem you are attempting to prevent? Declining population is not per se a problem.
At scale, global instability leading to supply chain breakdown, leading to disruption of things we don’t think could be scarce like CPUs, medical equipment, defensive weaponry.
But also, a surfeit of resources and wealth. We’ve seen global population crashes before and (aside from the mass death that predicated them) I understand that the aftermath was actually quite pleasant.
If our system can’t support even a steady state population, it needs to fail. Constant growth is a ponzi scheme.
As population numbers fall, we won’t have people that can extract those resources.
We won’t have people to defend global trade routes. We’re seeing this already. The mighty US navy can’t prevent Iran from using cheap drones to choke the world of oil. Oil is used to make everything, and already there’s barely enough to go around.
Countries will enter unrest and devolve.
The next 25 years are going to be really bad.
25 years isn’t that long. If that’s all it takes to transition to a static model, I take that deal any day of the week. The longer we predicate everything on growth, the worse transition gets.