*based on odds on fucking polymarket. This is not news
Hmmm, couch fucker should do a world tour. Damage them all.
I did think he would bad luck for their campaign - I just assumed he was just really popular in Hungary or something. Guess my instinct was right.
I guess they’re at least doing the foreign politics thing without bombs this time, so we have that going for us 🫠
Why are we taking g the opinions of degenerate addicts and pretending it is relevant or scientific in any way?
A strong man standing next to a fat faced pussy bitch makes him seem…less strong.
JD Vance is the human equivalent of a sad trombone
Since then, betting markets show Orbán’s stock has fallen marginally, though there is no suggestion that his declining fortunes have been caused by Vance’s intervention.
So betting markets not polls, which would be pricing in the diminishing uncertainty as the day draws near, and it wasn’t like a sudden drop either.
There might not be a story here. Orban was losing, and he’s still losing.
So someone will bet big on him on Friday and they’ll do everything possible that he wins.
Remember Trumps son is a part of pollymarkets board
If you’re in Fidesz you already have a major financial stake in him winning. And maybe a stay-out-of-jail stake.
Hopefully he doesn’t lose like Nicolas Maduro lost the last election.
This is the guy in position to take over MAGA if a major cardiovascular event were to happen in the near future. This gives me hope.
I do rather hate that so many news orgs seem to be using polymarket et al as a drop-in replacement for actual polling, because polymarket is loosely affiliated, if at all, with reality. It’s a fucking betting platform. There’s nothing scientific or statistical about it that aligns with demographic realities.
Newsweek has always been a questionable source since its purchase by the notorious IBT. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Reliable_sources/Perennial_sources#Newsweek_(2013-present)
But at the same time Polymarket seems a bit like a self fulfilling prophecy - because Polymarket says something, it by itself increases the odds of that event happening; and in the cases where it isn’t this way, look for the large amount of bets 2 hours before the event in questing, a.k.a the “GOP spike”.
Not to mention that a quality poll would just be among qualified likely voters in the election in question, where as polymarket is just gambling addicts anywhere on the planet.
On the other hand, it’s well designed to surface inside information. Exactly the thing that lots of people complain about, but it’s a good thing if you’d like to use the prediction market to make predictions like this.
Lol
the Trump bump killed Pierre Poilievre’s 30% lead in Canada, and even after the loss, his MPs are all looking to defect to the Liberals.
These guys are clueless, this is not what Canada wants to see in political leadership…
I wouldn’t mind if Carney or Lewis went on JRE though.
:sicko-yes:
Since then, betting markets show Orbán’s stock has fallen marginally, though there is no suggestion that his declining fortunes have been caused by Vance’s intervention.
Betting markets. Grain of salt taken.
JD baby face screaming about how EU tries to affect the voting, proceeds to manipulate the public with his speech. Ooookeydokay
The fact that the Russian asset still has changes is concerning
