“But what this does is it allows the ships to go. If we keep bombing, those ships won’t be going”
So Trump is admitting that Iran controls the strait.
What, practically, does that mean for the US?
“we run out of [oil] reserves in about four weeks”
Sounds like he is under some time pressure!
What would happen if it wasn’t solved by then?
“[markets would] go down at levels that nobody ever saw before, maybe except for 1929”
Oh. That sounds bad?
So how likely is he to avoid this outcome by winning the war within the next four weeks?
“if we didn’t do this deal, we could have dropped more bombs for another three weeks, two weeks, four weeks, two years. You would never have the Hormuz Strait open. You would never have success”
There you have it! If he doesn’t agree to the deal, the US is guaranteed an economic collapse. So he is forced to take the deal.
What do you call it when one side in a war is forced to take a deal?
We can prove this just using Trump’s own words…
So Trump is admitting that Iran controls the strait.
What, practically, does that mean for the US?
Sounds like he is under some time pressure!
What would happen if it wasn’t solved by then?
Oh. That sounds bad?
So how likely is he to avoid this outcome by winning the war within the next four weeks?
There you have it! If he doesn’t agree to the deal, the US is guaranteed an economic collapse. So he is forced to take the deal.
What do you call it when one side in a war is forced to take a deal?
This is an underrated comment. Honestly the most articulate and clear summary of the US defeat I’ve seen so far.
I’d have to credit Belle for the idea, but thanks!