Since February (the timeline you are claiming), Ukraine has lost territory. Not a lot, but Russia is creeping forward. Kostiantynivka in particular seems like it’s in trouble.
Now please understand, I don’t actually think it matters who gains a km here or there. Ukraine is doing the right thing by enforcing “long range sanctions”, and I think they’re going to win because of it. But I’m under no illusions that Ukraine is capturing more territory than they are losing right now.
I think there are lots of conflicting sources. (I’m sure ISW knows better than I do, I’m an internet rando.) Other visualizations I’ve looked at show very slow advances over the last couple of months.
Between February and now that is true, but the last few months have seen small net gains by Ukraine. Whether that trend holds out is up in the air, but they have been doing a number on Russian logistics. Crimea in particular is struggling mightily with fuel shortages.
Since February (the timeline you are claiming), Ukraine has lost territory. Not a lot, but Russia is creeping forward. Kostiantynivka in particular seems like it’s in trouble.
Now please understand, I don’t actually think it matters who gains a km here or there. Ukraine is doing the right thing by enforcing “long range sanctions”, and I think they’re going to win because of it. But I’m under no illusions that Ukraine is capturing more territory than they are losing right now.
Did they? Someone made a graph based on ISW data that showed the last few months as Ukraine gaining on net
I think there are lots of conflicting sources. (I’m sure ISW knows better than I do, I’m an internet rando.) Other visualizations I’ve looked at show very slow advances over the last couple of months.
Between February and now that is true, but the last few months have seen small net gains by Ukraine. Whether that trend holds out is up in the air, but they have been doing a number on Russian logistics. Crimea in particular is struggling mightily with fuel shortages.