• Dr. Moose@lemmy.world
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    1 day ago

    I wouldn’t hope for a massive disaster as despite clueless leadership american military is still incredibly strong and organized (relatively speaking). The issue if I understand correctly that in asymmetrical warfare winning a battle doesn’t win the war and neither does winning a dozen battles. Just a another step in yet another quagmire.

    • Skyrmir@lemmy.world
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      1 day ago

      It’s not even a question of winning the battle, it’s that Iran could very likely turn the island into a smoldering fire pit in a dozen different ways without even stepping on the island. From Iran’s side, they’re not going to win a face to face confrontation and they know it. If they spark up that island, oil prices shoot for the moon the next day, which puts Trump on a path to impeachment surprisingly fast. The right wing only reacts when things affect them personally, and gas is touching every one of them in their no no place, the wallet.

    • teyrnon@sh.itjust.works
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      1 day ago

      The US can take and hold this island I would presume, just as the English have done all over the world for centuries. The land around the straits as well, but that is a larger commitment that will lead to forever war, which is the entire point of this, so Israel can have a foil to domestic politics and reach across the border whenever they want on some pretext.