That’s gonna be a monstruos cluster fuck. Iran is not Venezuela. They’ve been preparing for this for a long time.
Iran geography is no joke neither. And getting near the cost for deployment…
This is not going to be a full scale invasion. For that they need way more soldiers. 5000 is enough to take some islands, run some raids on the coast or do some special ops bs. If they send more we maybe see something bigger.
Oh they might be intending to capture that strait to minesweep it and open it back up. Which will probably continuously cost lives of those holding it while boats get targeted by drones anyways.
Kharg is the most likely. 90% of Irans oil exports go through that island and the US has just bombed it hard, while the units currently moved are specialized in taking islands. Other then that in the Strait of Hormuz Abu Musa, Greater and Lesser Tunbs are decent targets, as the UAE claims them and taking them would be useful to secure shipping a bit better.
If you wanted to secure the Strait somewhat Hormozgan province would have to be taken. With a population of nearly 2million, that is not going to happen with 5000 men. Maybe raids though.
That’s gonna be a monstruos cluster fuck. Iran is not Venezuela. They’ve been preparing for this for a long time. Iran geography is no joke neither. And getting near the cost for deployment…
This is not going to be a full scale invasion. For that they need way more soldiers. 5000 is enough to take some islands, run some raids on the coast or do some special ops bs. If they send more we maybe see something bigger.
Oh they might be intending to capture that strait to minesweep it and open it back up. Which will probably continuously cost lives of those holding it while boats get targeted by drones anyways.
Kharg is the most likely. 90% of Irans oil exports go through that island and the US has just bombed it hard, while the units currently moved are specialized in taking islands. Other then that in the Strait of Hormuz Abu Musa, Greater and Lesser Tunbs are decent targets, as the UAE claims them and taking them would be useful to secure shipping a bit better.
If you wanted to secure the Strait somewhat Hormozgan province would have to be taken. With a population of nearly 2million, that is not going to happen with 5000 men. Maybe raids though.