Ok, so you admit the scenario I describe is possible, just not ‘likely’ in your view… after initially dismissing it.

Did you read the article?

What happened was not that the whole main rocket zoomed right past a Starlink Sat, while still doing the initial burn sequence.

What happened was:

“If confirmed, this incident occurred nearly 48 hours after payload separation, by which time the launch mission had long concluded. CAS Space will coordinate with satellite operators to proceed. This calls for re-establishing collaborations between the two New Space ecosystems,” the company added in another X post a few hours later.

… One of the sats released by Kinetica 1 whizzed by SL6709 at a 200m distance. 48 hours after the Kinetica 1 launch.

So… that would have occurred during when said K1 deployed sat… was doing some kind of orbital stabilization manuever, most likely, no?

Either that, or, even worse… it wasn’t, it doesn’t have much of its own ability to trim and adjust its own orbit… which would mean it is just stuck, on an eccentric orbit, possibly stable, possibly not… that crosses above and below the altitude Starlink sats are at… and there’s like ten thousand of them…

… which CAS Space does not seem to either have accounted for, or have the ability to account for.

So yeah the situation that is currently occuring, that is from the article we are talking about, yeah, that does not to me seem like an unlikely thing, given that it is, or something pretty close to it, seems to be currently happening.

Given that CAS Space said:

“CAS Space will coordinate with satellite operators to proceed. This calls for re-establishing collaborations between the two New Space ecosystems,” the company added in another X post a few hours later.

That would seem to me to imply that they had previously been in contact with SpaceX, to be able to coordinate launches and do trajectory deconfliction… but that this coordination ceased… for some reason.

https://payloadspace.com/china-calls-nasa-on-orbital-conjunction/

Looks like China’s been asking for help from NASA with this sorta stuff in the last few months… I guess SpaceX didn’t get the memo?

Nobody’s sure what the … correct procedure or chain of command is here?

… Does Starlink actually publish and make all its Sat locations snd trajectories, in highly accurate detail, available to Chinese space companies/agencies?

Thats a legitimate question, I don’t know.

You’d have to have basically a real time syncronizhed data sharing operation going on, given how many Starlink sats there are, how often they make orbital adjustments or fail.