Haven’t really seen too many new list experiment polling (which is really too bad).

There is a good report from Dec 2024 on the topic:

The reluctant consensus: War and Russia’s public opinion

While the authors use more neutral language (while still being critical), I think it’s reasons to state that this another piece of research that confirms the position that a strong majority of russians are genocidal imperialists.

Yes, list experiments. There are several research papers with such methodology that I am aware of that cover russian support for the invasion of Ukraine. One shows 65% support for the full scale invasion (even after preference falsification adjustments). Another one regarding annexation of Crimea shows 80% support with no preference falsification (i.e. full alignment with other polling methods); an overwhelming majority of russian really do support the annexation of Crimes; the first stage of their invasion of Ukraine.

And even logically, the mere existence of preference falsification doesn’t inherently means that it is impossible for a strong majority of russians to be supporters of genocidal imperialism. The preference falsification would be have to be significant (which needs to be shown empirically).

The 33% support figure conflicts all other research on this topic (using any methodology), that’s why I was asking.

No worries if you don’t don’t a have link. I might do some random searches using 33% as a base. Cheers!

50% favourable (not net) is still a lot, but nowhere near as bad as in Russia were support for the annexation of Crimea was at 85% between 2014 and 2021 with no real preference falsification.

Do you a source on the 33/33/33 split in Russia? Genuinely curious, I try to read as much as I can on this and keep an up to date DB of relevant research pieces.

I of course disagree that just 33% of russians support putin. Multiple research works show much much higher numbers. But to be honest, I just want to check out the research.

Unlike support for Trump in the US, support for genocidal imperialism among russians is at minimum a strong majority if not an overwhelming majority. The majority holds across all demographic segments; age, education, rural vs. urban, income.

At the point is usually when you hear arguments such as “all russians are afraid, they are all secret liberals” or “how can we truly know what russians think”.

It turns out that people that people who work in this areas do have methods of not only accounting for preference falsification, but even estimating it’s scope.

And even adjusting for preference falsification you still have at least a strong majority openly supporting imperialism and genocide.

Is this situation the same for support for Trump in the US?

No, this is how you deal with russians.

Believe it or not, their whole foreign policy posture is about keeping people scared and allowing them to control the initiative.

Montreal and Quebec City felt like the most European cities in North America.