scratsearcher 🔍🔮📊🎲

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Joined 8 months ago
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Cake day: November 7th, 2024

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  • It happened: strikes on Irans capital and nuclear facilities 🇮🇱. Here follows my analysis and the consequences for involved nearby countries. The main difference between this war and the Russia Ukraine war: Buffer states like Syria and Iraq are between the 2 countries at war, as Iran and Israel have no direct land borders. Furthermore it is insanely hard to to march Infantry masses across these flat desert buffer countries landscape without being spotted by satellites or drones. Syria and Iraq will sustain some damage, as they host pro Iran militia forces and some IS terror cells. This war will cost a lot of rocket-fuel, as the distance between Iran and Israel cities are bigger than those from Ukraine to Russia.

    So I predict this will be mostly a war of long range strike- and special forces secret service commando assets in which Israel has an advantage in my assessment. Iran might enrich Uranium further, but only as a gesture, not really a useful outcome for them ☢.

    🇸🇦 Saudi-Arabia will profit from this: Its sales of oil will grow, while Iran refinery capacity will be destroyed 🛢 . Russia might benefit indirectly from this with its oil sales to Asia (India and China) and a growing oil price. NATO countries will divert some long range strike assets and artillery munitions to Israel at first to strengthen it, as the US has already sent air defense assets purposed for Ukraine to the middle east theater. But with a defeated Iran Russia will loose power in the middle east and the Caspian-Sea. Azerbaijan and Afghanistan might profit from this as well, their borders with the isolationist mullah regime might become more brittle enabling more sanction avoiding smuggling and small export industry.

    The US will benefit from this war in 2 ways: growing oil prices make their fracking industry more competitive and defense contractors like Ratheon stocks will grow 🗽 📈. Israel as a key to the region will strengthen for the US.

    🇹🇷 Turkey will stay neutral, they are amassing military forces and industry and neither Iran nor Israel have interest to mess things up with them and divert resources, though Turkey might use this to justify deeper operations inside Syria against PKK forces in the north-east.

    Also I expect North Korea to send “secret” observers and assets into Iran as they have done in the Ukraine war, keep looking for them.









  • i2p is the only tor for torrents I know of. a program i2psnark that comes with the java-version preinstalled specifically. You need to follow their setup instructions closely to get a functioning i2p you can interact with using a http-proxy setting in your web-browser.

    I2P can only talk to other I2P users. There are far from enough users on it to reliably use it for P2P. There’s nothing inherently wrong with it, it just never reached critical mass. The set-up process is probably too complicated for most potential users.

    • So the massive i2p problem is its unpopular.

    This is a bit of the chicken and egg problem. Has anyone here experience using or seeding i2p torrents? I would be interested in for example seeding Linux iso. I set it up

    My 2cents how to seed :

    then you can use i2psnark/Create a torrent in the web interface, and type the file-name of the file you want to seed over i2psnark. on Linux for me its in in /var/lib/i2p/.i2p/i2psnark

    But sharing over it is another matter; you need a tracker for that, like postman, or the other one I have not tested yet.