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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: July 2nd, 2023

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  • According to polling, a healthy majority of Albertans and a healthy majority of Quebecois want to remain in Canada.

    It’s certainly too late for separatists to turn the tide in AB before the “referendum to have a referendum” in less than 2 weeks from now.

    A lot more could happen between now and 2028 in Quebec… But I still am skeptical.

    Support for BQ in '95 was basically 50%. PQ today is like mid 30s (crowded field).

    I’m concerned that provincial politicking is banging such a lazy drum. I’m not concerned today that the aggregate electorate of either province wants to leave Canada.




  • Ok, I can accept what I think I just read:

    “Although a drop in housing prices would provide a reprieve to those who do not own, the fundamental structure of housing as a commodity is the greater beast that must be defeated”

    Now, that’s true, I’m 100% on board.

    I do feel like people sometimes let perfect become the enemy of good. “The homeless guy doesn’t need a handout, he needs a job”, they mutter as they walk on by.

    If you wanna think that long term, I actually don’t think you’ve gone far enough. Government supply initiatives? A start, but still a bandaid. Massive increasing tax rates on multiple ownership. Cap on residential property that can be owned by Corporations. Rent controls. Pull no punches to establish that housing is not a viable speculative investment. You build to sell to people who will live there.

    What about the equity you’re about to decimate? Government needs to get back big time into the pension game. Big time. How will I live? Eat? Get medical care as I age? Needs a fix.

    Until those broad changes occur, I’ll still be cheering every dip.


  • But then the prices go up again.

    The price of anything is the balance of buyers and sellers.

    The price TELLS you where the equilibrium is. It is the OUTPUT of the function.

    Houses aren’t Hienz Ketchup. Head office doesn’t just decree a house price. You’re imagining the housing market works like Taylor swift tickets from ticket master.

    You don’t even have to hypothesize on this because housing markets have been swinging around for decades. People on the sidelines were able to buy houses after 2008 that they’d never have been able to afford otherwise. It worked out GREAT for people who has been sidelined.

    I entered the market at the brief but violent housing downturn in late 2019. I never would have been able to otherwise.

    They suck for people who own a home and are depending on thier equity. It sucks for people who own a home and the banks get nervous.

    Whenever I hear people saying to people without homes “be careful what you wish for” when they are wishing houses were cheaper… I just hear my old boss telling me how I shouldn’t want a raise because it’ll “bump me into a higher tax bracket”.

    It’s bullshit half-truths which sound just plausible enough to convince you to not act in your own best interests.

    If you own a property, its in your own financial best interests to have the value increase. If you do not own property, but want to, you want the price to go down.







  • Remember when transistors were invented, and the rest of the world shrugged and said “we lost the race” and then never invented them and still plow fields by horse and candlelight?

    Of course not.

    Framing this as a race introduces the idea that if you don’t win you’re fucked. As if time stops. It’s a bad metaphor and it only serves to undermine rational thinking. It’s designed to convince people they need to sacrifice something. Datacenters spiked your electricity bill? That’s ok because we have to win.

    The space race is pretty similar. Also worth pointing out that by every metric besides man foot+moon, the USSR won. First suborbital flight? Orbital? Satellite? Animal in space? Man in space? Moon flyby? Moon landing? USSR. Did the USA quit? Did it matter?

    You can throw money at whatever you want. Framing it as a race is nonsense designed to convince people to work against thier own interests so someone else can get rich.



  • No idea how it works in London… but my concern is that using fees and taxes to reduce things sometimes practically turn into “This thing is now only for rich people”.

    I knew a guy who was a giant piece of shit and would park his Lamborghini anywhere and just eat the parking tickets. He’d get like $400 a day and he just didn’t care because he had the money. The rules are just for poor people if the penalty is just a fine.

    My concern is that with a simple taxation approach, Venice becomes where bezos jets to whenever he wants, and I literally can no longer go. He already had a leg up, this just deepens the gap.

    There are ways to address it. A lottery system. Or at the very least make the tax scale with wealth (like how some Nordic countries do speeding tickets)






  • I don’t say it to argue, just to inform. What I want is for people to give it the gravity that it deserves… very little. To speak from a place of informed reason rather than emotional reaction.

    “Lol, like 15% of the population would vote to leave why are you wasting your time, Danielle”

    That’s what I want.

    Because the uninformed emotional reaction is what Danielle wants. She is the most incompetent premiere in my lifetime. Rather than have any kind of real agenda or vision, her bizarre strategy is to just keep people upset.

    No real legislation. Or plans. Or dealings. Like a Jr high mean girl trying to stay popular by starting drama. It only has any power if you buy into the drama. Don’t buy into the drama.


  • Worth noting that the ab government interceded to lower the threshold. Also that polling puts “leave” at low 20%. Also worth noting that “leave” support is actually declining as the months go by. Also worth noting that when pollsters ask a follow-up question (do you still support leaving if that means AB becomes responsible for its own defense, currency, passports, border control, etc etc etc) support drops to mid 10%. Incidentally, support from greenlanders joining the US when Trump said he needed Greenland was also mid 10%.

    Polling shows that once push comes to shove, about as many albertans seriously support indepence as greenlanders want to be annexed by the USA.

    Is it serious? Yes, in the sense that predatory bad-faith politics is serious. Foreign actors attempting to apply pressure on Canadian politics is very serious.

    Is it serious in the sense of “is the idea of leaving Canada something that Albertans seriously support?”, no.