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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: June 11th, 2023

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  • That’s a very, very good point, but not the one you think it is.

    Of the ~240 people aboard the vessel, 100% are experiencing symptoms of “anxiety”, while about 5% have been identified as also experiencing “Hantavirus”.

    Everyone aboard is quarantined, and regularly being interviewed by medical personnel to determine if they are symptomatic. Did she initially report virus symptoms along with the anxiety affecting everyone? Or did the virus symptoms appear later?

    “Ma’am, even though you have reported no symptoms indicating you have contracted the virus, we’re going to go ahead and say you have it.”

    ^ much more problematic diagnosis.


  • What were the specific symptoms she reported to the doctors?

    If I go to the doctor and I report “I’m feeling generally nervous and a little scared”, I would expect the doctor to respond “That sounds like anxiety”.

    If I report “I’m having a worsening cough, and body aches”, I’d expect “That sounds like a viral infection”.

    If I were to report “I had a cough several days ago, but it has disappeared. I’m feeling generally nervous and a little scared”, should the doctor listen to what I am saying and conclude “anxiety”? Or should they focus solely on the symptom I reported in decline and conclude “virus”?





  • When you start, there are no shares to buy or sell. For a dollar, the market will sell you a “yes” and a “no” share. When the bet matures, one of those shares will be worth a dollar, and the other will be worth nothing. If you keep both shares, you’ll get your dollar back, nothing more, nothing less.

    You think the bet will resolve to “yes”, so you want to sell off your “no” shares. You try to sell them at $0.50, nobody buys. You lower your price to $0.30, and they sell. Now you have $0.30 and a “yes” share that might be worth a dollar in the future.

    You see someone is offering to buy “yes” shares for $0.80. If you sell your “yes” share, you’ll end up with $1.10 total.

    Suppose after a trading back and forth all day, you find yourself with a “yes” share that you’ve paid $0.40 for. You have a “no” share that you’ve paid $0.30 for. At any time, you can join those two shares together and sell them back to the market for $1.











  • To be viable, a solution is going to have to include replacement for the functions provided by fossil fuels. Without those functions, we’re back in the stone age. Scientists might tolerate that, but the general public will not. Electric cars and electrified trains will solve a large part of that problem, but sea and air transport aren’t anywhere close.

    Synthetic gaseous and liquid fuels and lubricants can be produced using atmospheric CO2 as a feedstock. The problem is that the process is energy intensive. But, that very problem is also a solution to another one.

    Solar and wind electrical generation has a massive problem with seasonal variability. We can solve the daily variability with various storage methods, but there is no viable way for storage to manage seasonal variation. Basically, a solar panel that is sized to meet our needs in the short days of low-angle sunlight we get in winter will produce more than three times as much energy as we need under long, high-angle sunlight in summer.

    Excess production reduces the profitability of every generator on the grid. So we get to a situation where profits are maximized long before we meet our generation needs. Any further increase in generation capacity decreases expected revenues. We are motivated to reduce solar generation capacity before our needs are fully met, rather than increasing it to fully meet our needs. This is the real problem currently coming over the horizon; the one we need to begin addressing.

    We can frame this as a problem of variation in supply. Or we can reframe it as a problem with lack of variation in demand. The latter is a much simpler problem to solve. The problem isn’t that we produce too much power in the summer. The problem is that we use too much power in the winter, but not nearly enough in the summer. We need to decrease our winter consumption, and increase our summer consumption to match what we produce.

    If we soak up the excess energy in spring, summer, and autumn to produce synthetic fuel and lubricants from atmospheric CO2, we keep renewable generation profitable year round, while also producing a carbon-neutral replacement for petroleum oil.

    (This is not a theoretical: the Air Force has certified all of its aircraft to operate on Fisher-Tropsch-produced synfuels. These fuels are direct replacements for petroleum fuels, but are developed from catylizing CO2 and hydrogen into long-chained hydrocarbons, rather than refining from petroleum.)




  • This bill makes the operating system provider the responsible party. They have to implement this, and ensure compliance. Failure is a $2000 fine every time a child launches an application.

    Under this law, Microsoft and Google are charged with implementing this feature and ensuring compliance. They are, obviously, “OS Providers”. They control their respective operating systems.

    With FOSS OSes, Ubuntu isn’t the OS provider. Arch isn’t the OS provider. Debian, Redhat, Gentoo aren’t the OS Providers. The product each of these entities provide is an OS, but it is an OS that is under your full and total control. Not theirs. They cannot control what you do with the OS. They cannot ensure your implementation is compliant with state, local, national, or international law. Under this law they are not the responsible party.

    Under this law. You are the “OS Provider”.